Showing posts with label $GDX. Show all posts
Showing posts with label $GDX. Show all posts

Tuesday, August 9, 2016

The Gold to Platinum Ratio Explained

20 Year Chart Gold Platinum Ratio

Historically, Platinum has traded at a premium to Gold.  In other words, one ounce of Platinum is normally more expensive than one ounce of Gold.  The median over the past 20 years is around 0.8 (which also aligns with the historical average), meaning Platinum has traded at a 20% premium to Gold (on average).

Currently the ratio stands at 1.17, and has traded above 1.35 as recently as 6 weeks ago.  The chart above illustrates that the ratio is falling, which means the price of Platinum has outperformed Gold in the short term.  If you are bullish precious metals in general (which I am), I highly recommend you take a look at investing in Platinum as opposed to Gold via the $PPLT (most liquid Platinum ETF).

If you are an aggressive trader, you can look to put on a pairs trade by buying Platinum ($PPLT) and shorting Gold ($GLD) until this ratio normalizes.

Good luck & God bless!






Saturday, August 6, 2016

Investing in Precious Metals - The Gold/Silver Ratio Explained


Visit StockCharts.com to see more great charts.
20 Year Gold/Silver Ratio Chart
Gold has been one of the best investments in 2016, with the $GLD (the most liquid/heavily traded ETF which tracks the underlying price of the commodity) up over 27% on the year & the $GDX (large cap global gold miners ETF) up a whopping 124%.  These returns are nothing to sneeze at.  If you have caught wind of any recent headlines on the markets, you simply cannot avoid all of the Gold bugs raving about a major trend change (which I agree with).

If you are bullish on precious metals, then you should add the Gold/Silver ratio to your investing toolbox.  The above is the 20 year chart of the Gold/Silver ratio.  What is the Gold/Silver ratio?  Simply put, it's the ratio of the number of silver ounces it takes to buy an ounce of Gold.  When the ratio is falling, this means that silver is outperforming gold (& vice versa when rising).

Over the last 20 years we have seen a range of 93.73 - 30.70.  Based on the last 20 years, we observe that any reading in the 55-70 range is neutral.

How do we use this ratio to interpret our investments?  First off, precious metals typically move together.  This strategy should only be used when precious metals are in a bull market/have been acting healthy as a group (which by almost all technical measures, they currently are).  When we get a higher reading (>70), we should lean towards putting money to work in Silver.  Conversely, when the ratio drops below 55, we should lean towards investing in Gold.

We closed Friday at 67.84.  I'll be watching for any more upside in the Gold/Silver ratio (>70) to dip my toes into a Silver position.

I will go over the Platinum/Gold ratio in my next post.  Until then, good luck & God bless!